UFC Bantamweight
Championship TJ Dillishaw © 11-2 MMA 7-2 UFC vs. Renan Barao 33-2 1
NC MMA 8-1- UFC 174 May of 2014
Dillishaw
challenges Barao for the UFC Bantamweight championship. Going
into this fight NO ONE thought Dillishaw
could win. The guy was a talented young fighter but Barao was
unbeaten for more than thirty fights. He
had twice dominated Urijah Faber, Dillishaw's
friend and training partner. Hell
I thought Barao would win in less than a second. But
Dilishaw shocked the world he spent the entire fight out landing
Barao and seemed to be out of the way every time Barao tried to
attack. You could easily call it the greatest upset in MMA History.
Since than it's been a
strange road to the rematch. UFC 177 was supposed to be the rematch.
Barao passed out cutting weight. Than
Dominick Cruz and Raphael Asscuano
got hurt opening the door for another rematch. But Dilishaw suffered
a rib injury again delaying the fight.
Dilishaw
last fought at UFC 177 in August. He beat Joe Soto who stepped up to
replace Barao. He dominated the fight again showing great striking
and knocked Soto out in the fifth round using
a head kick just like he did with Barao. That's three wins in a row
for the champion. Barao last fought in Barao last fought in December
he beat Mitch Gagnon via submission. Gagnon was ranked but he wasn't
really a contender. Still though he dominated the fight really was
always
in control. On paper the
striking advantage goes to Barao eight career knockouts and his camp
Nova Uno is renowned for it's aggressive striking. But we saw in the
first fight that Dillishaw had the advantage. Striking
isn’t just punches and kicks it's your footwork your ability to
faint and defend. Dillshaw
seemed to have the answers to every Barao attack. Now since that
fight Duane “Bang” Ludwig has left Alpha Male as the head coach.
That
said Dillishaw and Bang still work together. I believe Bang will be
in the corner. Also Martin Kampman replaced Ludwig as coach. And
The Hitman is a very good Thai boxer in his own right. Now
the ground game you would think Dishabille is the better wrestler
given his past at Fullerton State and his team. But Barao has shown
good take down defense he's also got a 15 career wins via submission
and a black belt. If I'm Barao I would want to take this to the
ground and see what I could there over Dillishaw who really doesn't
go to the ground very often.
My
pick though is Dillishaw. I think he's gotten in Barao's head after
that first fight. Barao in a lot of his comments seems like he just
want to go in and smash. Dillishaw won in large part due to his
confidence that he could and now he knows he can win. Also look at
that first fight Dillishaw also fought very smart. He didn't got
cocky he didn't take time to admire his work or drop his hands. I say
Dillishaw does it again fifth round knockouts
Miesha Tate 16-5
MMA 3-2 MMA vs. Jessica Eye 11-2 1 NC MMA 1-1 1NC UFC- Well
if you listen to Tate this is either a number one contenders fight or
the winner fights Cyborg at catch weight in a number one contenders
fight. Its not a done deal the winner gets a title shot and I don’t'
think Cyborg is ever going to drop below 145. But this is a very key
fight. With as dominated a
champion as Ronda Rousey is she's already beat many of the top
contenders. In Eye's case that opens up the door for a title shot
even without a stellar record and in Tate's case a chance at a third
fight. Tate last fought in
January she Sara McMann via decision. That puts Rousey at three in a
row. Eye's last fought was in November when an Injured halted her
fight with Leslie Smith but before that she was clearly winning the
fight. I should not Eye originally beat Sara Kaufman but that was
over turned due to a failed drug test for marijuana.
Striking
I'm going to give the edge to Eye she has more of a striking
background. She also has
great hand speed and she managed to out stirke the very dangerous
Sarah Kaufman in there fight. Tate has also has been knocked out in
the past against Zinganoa and she's been rocked a number of times.
Tate has shown an ability to recover when hurt. Grappling that edge
goes to Tate. She was a
wrestler in high school. She's
been very dominate when she can get a take down. Even going toe to
toe with Sara McMann an Olympic medal winner. Tate
also has six wins via submission including the title over Maroles
Coenen win the title back in Strikeforce.
This
is a really tough pick. The truth is Tate hasn't looked very good
since the first fight with Rousey. She's not really had a great
performance. I think people over hype “She went three with Rousey,”
when really it was more of Rousey having to much fun throwing her
around. She's had a few
close calls and her wins outside of McMann haven't been really
impressive. That said she keeps finding a way to win. Eye has looked
really good but she's doesn't have that high finish rate. Tate's only
lost once via decision she knows how to do enough to win rounds. I'm
going with Tate. I think she grinds out enough to get another win.
Edson Barboza
15-3 MMA 9-3 vs. Paul Felder 10-0 MMA 2-0 UFC-Felder
last fought in February at UFC 182 he beat Danny Castillo KO'ing him
with a spinning back fist. That was a big fight for him. Victory over
a well known veteran, highlight reel win, and it came on one of the
UFC's biggest cards on a good spot the last prelim fight. Now
he's got a bigger chance on a Network show. Barboza last
fought in February as well
he lost to Michael Johnson at a Fight Night. Barboza
has had some big fights against guys like Cerrone or Johnson but he's
also always found a way to come up short. Still though big showcase
potential here on a major network. Striking I am giving an edge to
Barboza. While Felder has 7 career wins via KO Barboza has 9 wins via
KO. Barboza also has some great kicks and he's done it against a
higher level of competition.
Ground
game is again to Barboza. Although only a blue belt in BJJ he has two
submissions. Felder I don't think has been to the ground in his UFC
career. And it seems his style is very striking heavy. Why
I don't expect much grappling it would be a good way for Barboza to
score some points and maybe tire Felder out. I also got to give the
X-Factor in a better camp to Barboza. He's up in New Jersey working
with UFC vets. Felder seems to be in a smaller gym in Philly. Another
X-Factor for Barboza he's been on Fox and main cards before. For
Felder biggest fight toughest fight of his career. I think the kicks
and the experience are enough Barboza score a knockout win in the
second round.
Takanoria Gomi
35-10 1 NC MMA 4-5 UFC vs. Joe Lauzon 24-10 MMA 11-7 UFC- Barboza
and Feilder is a battle between two
younger fighters this is battle between two solid vets. Lauzon lost
fight at UFC 183 losing via TKO to Al Iaqunita the loss snapped a two
fight winning streak. Gomi
last fought in September losing to Myles Jury via KO. Power
you gotta give Gomi he has 13 career wins via KO and that might be
Lauzon biggest weakness as he's lost four time via knockouts. But I
would say Lauzon is the better technical striker. Gomi has that hands
down full power style. The guys that give Lauzon trouble are powerful
technical strikers. Grappling huge advantage to Lauzon seventeen
times he's won via Submission he's a BJJ black belt. And Gomi has six
losses via tapout. Gomi
might be able to catch Lauzon but I'll got with Lauzon being able to
avoid the power shots get it to the ground and getting the submission
win.
Rest of the card
Vialante over Lawler
Miller over Castillo
Saunders over Roberts
Caraway over Wineland
Krause over Cruikshank
Holobrook over Nijem
Phillips over Duke
Cummings over Steele
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