It seemed like we
had the Woman’s Bantamweight title picture set. With Miesha Tate
beating Jessica Eye and Ronda Rousey destroying Bethe Corriea it
seemed it was all set for a third go round with Rousey and Tate. Than
the UFC threw a curve ball when it was announced that instead
Rousey's next challenger will be Holly Holm. Of course this has set
off a flurry of reaction. And well in my honest opinion giving Holly
Holm her first title shot makes more sense than giving Tate a second
UFC title shot and a third fight with Rousey.
Lets start with the
fact this would be a third fight with Rousey and Tate. Rousey won
both fight making Tate submit to an armbar both times. In the first
fight Tate admits she was angry and felt disrespected as a result she
charged in got taken down and became just the latest victim of the
arm bar to go less than a round. In the second fight Tate entered
much calmer and became the only fighter to ever get past the first
round with Rousey. The fight lasted until the third round until again
she got caught in the armbar and tapped out. Since that fight to
Tate's credit she's won five in a row. With other potential
challengers falling short and Cyborg refusing to drop to 135 (no
matter what she says she always changes a week later about it.) Tate
has earned a title shot.
But Holly Holm is
the more interesting title fight! Lets with the fact its a fresh
fight. We have no idea what a Rousey vs. Holm fight will be like.
Since UFC 168 Tate, team, and fans have regularly hyped up the fact
she went more than one round with the champion. However it could be
argued that Rousey was more dominate in the rematch than she was in
the first fight. Tate's game plan for that fight might have been one
of the worse I have eve seen. Time and again Tate clinched with
Rousey and got tossed. In the two previous encounters Tate hasn't
shown an ability to stop Rousey's judo. Rousey though has shown she
can stuff Tate's wrestling style takedowns. It appears to me that
Tate believes she is the better striker than Rousey or believes
Rousey has enough holes in her stand up to take advantage of.
In the first fight I
would Tate was the better striker. She had much more experience and
when Rousey was hit she turned her head. A common reaction for
inexperienced strikers who haven't been hit before. In the second
fight Tate did have her moments in the stand up but Rousey had shown
great improvement. She no longer turned away from being hit. Also
since that second fight with Tate, Rousey has shown knockout power.
She got Sara McMann with a knee, Alexis Davis with a takedown and
than ground and pound, and than brawled with Corriea and made sure
she would never forget when Straight Outta Compton came out.
Now let's look at
the second fight. Since than well Rousey's has only gotten more
dominate she finished three fight in less than a minute and two of of
them in less than twenty seconds. Hell the fight with McMann was just
over a minute. Tate again to her credit has won four in row including
two very strong wins over Sara McMann and Jessica Eye. But Tate
hasn't really show any new tricks or improvement. All of those wins
went to decision. Tate remains a wrestler based fighter with good
stand up. She always remains a fighter willing to take punishment. To
me it's Similar to Jon Fitch. The former Purde wrestling captain got
one shot at GSP during his UFC career. After the loss to GSP he did
have a long winning streak that some felt should have given him a
rematch. But Fitch style of winning always remained the same. Get a
takedown and grind it out. GSP already showed he could stop Fitch
from doing that. Fitch was never much of finisher so he never got
another title shot. Its the same for Tate she's not shown any sign
that a third fight would be different.
But what Holly Holm?
What could she do that would make this a more interesting fight? For
one Rousey has never faced such a great striker. Yes Rousey has faced
power strikers before such as Kaufman or Corriea but Holm is a great
technical striker. And well I would remiss if I didn't point out
Holm's great boxing career with 33 career wins in the ring and 18
world titles. In recent fight Ronda has been much more willing to
exchange on her feet. Why she's better there are holes in her
defense. If Rousey tries to prove a point and exchanges we could see
her take some real damage. I don't see Holm getting into the wild
exchanges we have often seen Rousey have with Tate, McMann or
Corriea. If Rousey comes out guns a blazing Holm has the technical
skills to avoid hit her and take control.
Another key part of
Holm's game is her kicking. After moving into kickboxing and MMA Holm
found she has great power in her legs. Of six career MMA knockouts
five come from Holm using kicks. Rousey has faced some strong
strikers she's never really faced a strong kicker. Plus Holm isn't
just using roundhouse kicks. In her fight with Marion Reneau we saw
Holm make use of sidekicks, kicks and front kicks. Also in that fight
with Reneau Holm showed great timing using her kicks. Just the kind
of attack that could stop a charging Rousey or keep the champion from
getting a clinch. And given Holm stand up ability this might be the
first time in a while that Rousey might need to get the fight to the
ground.
I'd also be remiss
if I didn't bring up Hol'ms team. She fights out of Jackson
Winklejohn. She's worked with renowned striking coach Mike Winklejohn
since she was a teenager. And Greg Jackson along with Winklejohn have
coached numerous fighters to world titles. Along with this comes
elite training partners several of which are also getting ready for
upcoming title shots. Holm's going to have potentially great training
camp. And it will be interesting to see what such a high profile
corner will do game plan wise against such a force as Rousey.
Long before Holm was
even under UFC contract people wanted to see this fight. Hell I would
say Rousey vs. Holm was brought up about as often as Rousey vs.
Cyborg. As dominant as Rousey was even early in her career combined
with her successful Judo career was similar to Holm. The great boxer
who was tearing through competition on the local scene of MMA. While
the demand has cooled off due to Holm rather sluggish performance
against Raquel Pennington and again going to decision against Marion
Reneau. Now against Pennington it's important to keep in mind that it
was Holm's UFC debut and plenty of fighters look off in that UFC
debut. While Pennington does not have the best record she is a very
tough veteran fighter. She did dominate Reneau who was coming off
several strong performances. And given a little more time I think
Holm could have finished Reneau as she had hurt late in the third
round.
Finally the thing
factor that will make this an interesting fight is Rousey will
motivated for this fight. While Rousey Tate still have an intense
dislike for one another the fact remains Rousey has already beat her
twice. Plenty of fighters talking how hard it is to get motivated for
rematches epically when they won. With Holm its a fresh challenger
that brings a skill set Rousey has never seen before. And I think a
motivated Rousey will led to a more interesting fight.
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